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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.57vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+3.40vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+1.63vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90+3.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.87vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.28vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84+0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04-0.71vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.63-0.62vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.97-3.08vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.73-7.04vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.93-4.58vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-2.35vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.63-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.34Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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11.82Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.38SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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14.65Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Christian Geary | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 37.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.