Race 6A

yale-z420

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ian Hopkins Guerra 16.0% 14.1% 14.4% 12.0% 12.3% 8.3% 6.4% 5.5% 4.5% 3.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ximena Escobar 10.1% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.6% 5.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.7%
William Bedford 9.2% 8.7% 9.2% 9.1% 8.9% 9.5% 9.1% 9.0% 7.9% 7.2% 5.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Harris Padegs 9.7% 10.2% 9.5% 9.7% 9.0% 9.3% 10.4% 6.8% 7.7% 6.9% 4.8% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Jack Roman 11.9% 12.3% 9.6% 10.7% 9.5% 9.4% 9.7% 7.5% 6.9% 5.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Beck Lorsch 2.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.2% 6.5% 7.3% 10.1% 11.1% 17.3% 19.9%
Fritz Baldauf 4.0% 5.0% 4.4% 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.3% 8.4% 7.4% 10.1% 9.4% 10.1% 10.3% 8.2%
Liam Gronda 3.1% 4.1% 4.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.9% 8.9% 9.5% 12.2% 10.5% 11.2%
William Bailey 8.5% 9.3% 9.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 7.5% 9.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.2% 4.3% 3.2% 1.2%
Katherine McNamara 12.6% 11.2% 12.3% 11.5% 10.1% 9.3% 9.0% 7.3% 6.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Sam Rifkind-Brown 3.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 7.5% 6.2% 8.6% 10.0% 11.9% 12.4% 13.0%
Jean-Michel Bus 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 6.8% 8.6% 7.8% 11.5% 12.6% 11.7% 10.3%
Caroline Keeffe-Jones 1.9% 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 4.7% 5.0% 7.4% 9.2% 12.0% 16.2% 24.8%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.9% 4.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.0% 8.4% 10.0% 10.2% 10.5% 9.4% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.