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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.51vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.51+0.79vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.12+0.34vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60-1.26vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+0.05vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Virginia Tech0.7327.3%1st Place
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2.79Hampton University0.5123.6%1st Place
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3.34William and Mary0.1215.0%1st Place
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2.74Christopher Newport University0.6024.4%1st Place
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5.05Catholic University of America-1.273.5%1st Place
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4.58American University-0.916.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 27.3% | 27.4% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 23.6% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 10.8% | 2.4% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 15.0% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 23.8% | 17.2% | 7.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 24.4% | 22.0% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 23.1% | 53.6% |
| Anika Liner | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 32.6% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.