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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+6.63vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+4.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.97+5.23vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.63-0.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.66vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.40vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-2.26vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-4.30vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-0.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.93-4.56vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-5.13vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.90-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.63Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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14.56Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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11.87Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.29Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| David Alfonso | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 15.4% |
| Michael Grove | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Christian Geary | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 35.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.