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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.63+11.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+6.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+5.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+3.73vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55-0.98vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73-0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.97+2.21vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04+1.12vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-3.19vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.84vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.90-2.83vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-3.33vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.36vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.93-5.54vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-8.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.63SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.17Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.67Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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14.64Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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9.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Paxton | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Christian Geary | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 37.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.