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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.25vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+8.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+3.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+3.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+1.43vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.97+1.39vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.60vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.93-0.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-5.29vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-3.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.73vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.36vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-5.38vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.84-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.6SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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14.64Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.56Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| David Alfonso | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Christian Geary | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 35.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.