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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.73vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.51vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.51-0.12vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.12-0.65vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27-0.04vs Predicted
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6American University-0.91-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Christopher Newport University0.6025.9%1st Place
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2.51Virginia Tech0.7329.0%1st Place
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2.88Hampton University0.5120.8%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary0.1214.0%1st Place
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4.96Catholic University of America-1.274.1%1st Place
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4.58American University-0.916.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 25.9% | 23.0% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Young | 29.0% | 26.2% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 20.8% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 14.0% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 23.8% | 17.9% | 6.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 23.5% | 50.7% |
| Anika Liner | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 30.3% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.