← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+4.19vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.49vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.73+5.25vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.95+3.08vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.63+7.38vs Predicted
-
6Boston College4.12+0.55vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.98vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan2.97+3.14vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.93+2.39vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.64-1.32vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.63-2.43vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.79-3.80vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.83-5.51vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin3.04-3.42vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.77vs Predicted
-
16Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-1.36vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.90-5.41vs Predicted
-
18Washington College2.84-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.19Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
8.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.25Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.08Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
12.38SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
6.55Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
9.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
11.14University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
-
11.39Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.68Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.2Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
10.58University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
14.64Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.0%1st Place
-
11.59Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
11.55Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% |
| Raul Rios | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Gabriel Salk | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Christian Geary | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 37.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.