← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.60vs Predicted
-
2American University-0.91+2.53vs Predicted
-
3Hampton University0.51-0.32vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.14-0.89vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary0.12-1.83vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-1.27-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Christopher Newport University0.6026.5%1st Place
-
4.53American University-0.916.3%1st Place
-
2.68Hampton University0.5127.2%1st Place
-
3.11Virginia Tech0.1418.3%1st Place
-
3.17William and Mary0.1217.3%1st Place
-
4.92Catholic University of America-1.274.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 26.5% | 25.7% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Anika Liner | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 28.7% | 33.3% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 27.2% | 22.6% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Daniel Langdon | 18.3% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 5.1% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 17.3% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.8% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.