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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.17+2.39vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.33+5.69vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.21+2.75vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.09+0.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.60vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.77-4.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-5.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.05-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Tufts University2.170.2%1st Place
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7.69Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.75McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.14Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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4.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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2.45Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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2.98Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 17.2% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 46.5% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.6% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 25.7% | 20.4% |
| Sydney Rey | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Neil Forrester | 9.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Sutula | 33.0% | 24.8% | 20.5% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 22.0% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Beyer | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 4.6% |
| Whit Durant | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 25.3% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.