Race 1B

mcsa-open-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nicholas Chesemore 12.2% 13.6% 14.6% 15.0% 13.6% 11.5% 9.7% 5.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Quinn Kaiser 24.2% 22.0% 17.8% 14.5% 10.3% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Jack Homa 13.2% 14.4% 14.1% 15.2% 14.5% 11.4% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Rakesh Dhiman 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 11.0% 12.5% 13.2% 13.2% 11.8% 11.1% 4.8%
Payden Pittman 24.9% 21.1% 17.9% 13.0% 10.0% 7.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Nok In Chan 6.9% 7.8% 9.7% 11.8% 12.0% 12.7% 14.9% 12.8% 8.2% 3.0%
Isaac Sparber 3.8% 3.4% 5.7% 6.0% 8.5% 10.7% 13.6% 17.4% 18.3% 12.7%
John Riordan 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 4.3% 5.4% 7.1% 10.5% 17.5% 47.3%
James Klancnik 3.3% 4.5% 5.6% 5.8% 8.2% 10.8% 13.4% 16.8% 18.2% 13.5%
Jacob Hsia 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.2% 6.2% 10.8% 12.8% 16.1% 20.1% 17.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.