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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.04+2.01vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72-0.13vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.04+0.06vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.62vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.31-0.30vs Predicted
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6American University-1.62-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Virginia Tech0.0416.2%1st Place
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1.87Hampton University0.7247.6%1st Place
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3.06Christopher Newport University0.0416.5%1st Place
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3.38William and Mary-0.1813.0%1st Place
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4.7Catholic University of America-1.313.7%1st Place
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4.99American University-1.622.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 16.2% | 22.8% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 47.6% | 28.0% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gail Schneider | 16.5% | 20.6% | 23.7% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.0% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 6.6% |
| Jane Pilato | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 29.9% | 36.3% |
| Jacob Juros | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 24.6% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.