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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.04+2.00vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72-0.08vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+0.35vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.04-0.97vs Predicted
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5American University-1.62-0.01vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.31-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Virginia Tech0.0416.6%1st Place
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1.92Hampton University0.7246.5%1st Place
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3.35William and Mary-0.1813.1%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University0.0416.3%1st Place
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4.99American University-1.623.4%1st Place
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4.71Catholic University of America-1.314.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Diaz | 16.6% | 23.1% | 22.7% | 21.8% | 13.1% | 2.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 46.5% | 27.1% | 16.2% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 13.1% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 24.6% | 17.4% | 6.5% |
| Gail Schneider | 16.3% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Juros | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 24.1% | 50.5% |
| Jane Pilato | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 31.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.