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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.04+2.02vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72-0.10vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.04+0.06vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.18-0.58vs Predicted
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5American University-1.620.00vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.31-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Christopher Newport University0.0417.4%1st Place
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1.9Hampton University0.7246.7%1st Place
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3.06Virginia Tech0.0416.1%1st Place
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3.42William and Mary-0.1811.8%1st Place
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5.0American University-1.622.9%1st Place
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4.6Catholic University of America-1.315.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gail Schneider | 17.4% | 22.4% | 21.9% | 21.4% | 12.6% | 4.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 46.7% | 27.9% | 16.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 16.1% | 20.8% | 24.4% | 22.2% | 12.8% | 3.6% |
| Sam Dutilly | 11.8% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 24.4% | 17.6% | 8.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 50.8% |
| Jane Pilato | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 31.9% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.