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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+6.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+7.87vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+8.80vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74+6.66vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+1.93vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.15vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.71vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-1.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-3.52vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.19-1.88vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.60+1.23vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.86vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-3.19vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.97-6.00vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.74-6.06vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute-0.56-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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10.66Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.81Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.0Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.94SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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17.45Webb Institute-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 1.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 11.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 0.3% |
| David Oliver | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 36.3% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Price | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Mike Carr | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hickey | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 86.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.