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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.77+1.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+1.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+1.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.05+1.25vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.17-1.71vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.33+1.52vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.09-2.77vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.21-2.26vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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3.06Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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4.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University2.170.2%1st Place
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7.52Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.23Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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6.74McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.93University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sutula | 33.1% | 24.4% | 20.9% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 20.5% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Alicia Beyer | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Colin Patterson | 20.8% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 23.7% | 41.8% |
| Sydney Rey | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 3.9% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 23.0% | 22.0% |
| Whit Durant | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 24.3% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.