← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.47+0.33vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.38-0.57vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.47-1.67vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University0.92+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.52-1.20vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.34-3.24vs Predicted
-
8Brandeis University-0.15-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
-
2.33Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
-
2.43Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
-
2.33Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
-
5.5Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
-
4.8Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
-
3.76Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.37Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 23.0% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 31.1% | 28.5% | 24.1% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 28.6% | 27.6% | 23.7% | 13.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 31.1% | 28.5% | 24.1% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 20.6% | 40.4% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 15.3% | 31.6% | 26.9% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 27.5% | 21.2% | 10.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 67.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.