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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+1.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+0.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47-0.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04-1.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.34-1.25vs Predicted
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6Bentley University0.92-0.51vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.52-2.20vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.86Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.75Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.49Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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4.8Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.37Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 30.7% | 27.0% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 32.8% | 28.8% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 32.8% | 28.8% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 19.3% | 22.3% | 28.8% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 27.1% | 22.9% | 10.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 20.2% | 40.5% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 17.5% | 30.4% | 26.6% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.