← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+1.83vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.38+0.42vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.47-0.68vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.47-1.68vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.52-0.18vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.34-2.19vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-0.15-0.54vs Predicted
-
8Bentley University0.92-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
-
2.42Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
-
2.32Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
-
2.32Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
-
4.82Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
-
3.81Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.46Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.35Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 21.4% | 23.4% | 23.0% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 30.0% | 26.7% | 23.2% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 32.9% | 27.5% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 32.9% | 27.5% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 31.2% | 27.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 26.2% | 23.4% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 16.7% | 70.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 40.7% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.