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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+1.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+0.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47-0.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34-0.25vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.52-0.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04-3.12vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.51vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.31Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.31Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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3.75Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.82Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
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2.88Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.49Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.35Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 31.9% | 26.8% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 33.9% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 33.9% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 8.9% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 27.4% | 21.3% | 10.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 32.5% | 26.2% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 18.9% | 23.7% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 16.5% | 71.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 41.0% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.