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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+1.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+0.29vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38-0.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.52+0.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04-2.09vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.34-2.21vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.53vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.29Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.42Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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4.75Boston University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.91Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.79Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.47Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.37Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 34.2% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 34.2% | 27.4% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 28.8% | 28.8% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 32.0% | 27.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 19.9% | 22.0% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 8.4% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 26.8% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 17.7% | 70.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 19.9% | 39.4% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.