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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+1.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+0.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.52+0.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47-2.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.34-2.20vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-1.53vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.4Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.84Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.85Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
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2.29Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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3.8Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.47Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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6.35Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 34.5% | 27.5% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 29.8% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 20.4% | 23.4% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 30.4% | 27.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 34.5% | 27.5% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 8.7% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 22.4% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 39.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 18.2% | 66.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.