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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+1.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+0.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.34+0.77vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38-1.51vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47-2.70vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.15+0.47vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.52-2.20vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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3.77Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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2.49Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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6.47Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.8Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.34Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 22.8% | 21.7% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 32.3% | 29.1% | 21.6% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 9.8% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 28.8% | 21.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 28.1% | 27.2% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 32.3% | 29.1% | 21.6% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 71.5% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 31.6% | 26.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 19.1% | 43.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.