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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.17+2.34vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+3.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.77-0.53vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43-1.12vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.33+2.38vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.21+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.10-0.02vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.05-3.66vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Tufts University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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2.47Bowdoin College2.770.3%1st Place
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2.88Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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7.38Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.75McGill University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.98University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University1.050.1%1st Place
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4.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 18.0% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Rey | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Sutula | 31.8% | 26.9% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 23.7% | 24.3% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Keaton Burns | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 40.8% |
| Melinda Moynihan | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| Whit Durant | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 27.1% | 25.6% |
| Alicia Beyer | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Neil Forrester | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.