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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+1.28vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+0.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.34+0.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.52+0.80vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38-2.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04-3.10vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-1.54vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.28Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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3.71Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.8Boston University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.49Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.46Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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6.36Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 34.7% | 28.4% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 34.7% | 28.4% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 10.0% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 25.4% | 21.2% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 31.3% | 26.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 28.7% | 25.3% | 23.0% | 15.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 17.9% | 24.0% | 25.6% | 19.3% | 10.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 41.4% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 18.0% | 66.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.