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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+1.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+0.41vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04-0.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34-0.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47-2.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.52-1.18vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-1.51vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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2.41Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.84Tufts University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.77Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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2.32Tufts University3.470.3%1st Place
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4.82Boston University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.49Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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6.35Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 33.7% | 27.6% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 29.6% | 27.3% | 24.2% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 19.5% | 23.5% | 26.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 10.0% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 26.9% | 22.5% | 10.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 33.7% | 27.6% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Simon Bertocci | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 30.1% | 27.4% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 21.1% | 38.4% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 19.0% | 65.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.