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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+1.13vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University-0.15+4.42vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38-0.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47-1.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.34-1.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.71-1.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.81-2.82vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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6.42Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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2.19Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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2.13Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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3.5Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.36Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.21Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 37.3% | 31.5% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 70.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 33.9% | 32.7% | 19.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 37.3% | 31.5% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 11.9% | 14.9% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 19.0% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 21.6% | 25.2% | 21.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 7.1% | 7.9% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 24.8% | 17.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 36.9% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.