← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.54+1.98vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.02+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Florida Institute of Technology0.73+0.93vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.20-0.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami0.84-0.85vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University1.62-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98University of South Florida1.5422.1%1st Place
-
3.59University of South Florida1.0215.9%1st Place
-
3.93Florida Institute of Technology0.7312.4%1st Place
-
3.49Jacksonville University1.2015.9%1st Place
-
4.15University of Miami0.849.2%1st Place
-
2.87Florida State University1.6224.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 22.1% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Jordan Byrd | 15.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 24.5% |
| Brent Penwarden | 15.9% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 14.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 30.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 24.6% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.