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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+1.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.34+1.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.71+1.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47-1.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47-2.82vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.15+0.40vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-1.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.81-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Dartmouth College3.380.4%1st Place
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3.47Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.36Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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2.18Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.18Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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6.4Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.33Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 36.1% | 29.5% | 18.6% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 10.5% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 7.0% | 6.9% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 26.3% | 20.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 35.5% | 30.5% | 19.2% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 35.5% | 30.5% | 19.2% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 16.4% | 68.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 36.9% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 25.0% | 16.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.