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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+1.11vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.34+1.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+1.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.71+0.34vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.15+1.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47-3.89vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38-4.76vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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3.43Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.25Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.34Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.41Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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2.11Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.24Dartmouth College3.380.3%1st Place
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5.22Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 39.4% | 28.2% | 19.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 11.6% | 16.8% | 23.1% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 22.5% | 25.6% | 18.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 26.0% | 20.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 70.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 39.4% | 28.2% | 19.7% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 32.5% | 32.2% | 20.5% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 37.6% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.