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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+1.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+0.08vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47-0.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.34-0.50vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.71-0.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81-1.79vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-1.66vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Dartmouth College3.380.4%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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3.5Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.37Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.34Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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6.3Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 36.0% | 28.8% | 19.8% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 37.8% | 32.8% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 37.8% | 32.8% | 17.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 10.4% | 15.9% | 25.3% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 26.9% | 20.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.3% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 24.7% | 16.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 37.1% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 16.7% | 66.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.