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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.73+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+0.93vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.62-0.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.20-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.02-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.84-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Florida Institute of Technology0.7310.8%1st Place
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2.93University of South Florida1.5423.2%1st Place
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2.77Florida State University1.6226.8%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.2016.2%1st Place
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3.62University of South Florida1.0213.9%1st Place
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4.22University of Miami0.849.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 25.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 23.2% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 26.8% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Brent Penwarden | 16.2% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Jordan Byrd | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 16.4% |
| Zachary Ward | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.