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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.71+3.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+0.20vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.34+0.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47-1.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47-2.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81-1.77vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.15-0.60vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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2.2Dartmouth College3.380.4%1st Place
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3.5Harvard University2.340.1%1st Place
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2.15Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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2.15Tufts University3.470.4%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.4Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.23Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Vickerson | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 35.1% | 32.0% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Bergsund | 11.3% | 15.6% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 36.7% | 29.9% | 19.0% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 36.7% | 29.9% | 19.0% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.5% | 8.4% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 25.7% | 15.5% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 69.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 40.0% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.