Race 1A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caleb Armstrong 10.5% 12.0% 14.7% 12.5% 13.3% 11.8% 11.3% 7.6% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Jesse Thomas 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 8.2% 10.9% 10.4% 12.2% 13.5% 11.3% 9.2% 3.2%
J. Jacob 17.8% 19.1% 15.1% 13.4% 13.5% 7.6% 6.5% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Emmett Weeks 3.6% 5.4% 5.3% 7.2% 5.8% 9.1% 11.2% 13.6% 16.7% 13.5% 8.6%
Michael Rottier 5.0% 4.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.5% 8.7% 9.7% 12.6% 13.8% 18.8% 7.0%
Scott Booth 7.3% 7.9% 8.2% 9.3% 11.5% 12.0% 12.1% 11.7% 8.8% 8.2% 3.0%
Dan Nickerson 20.9% 18.0% 14.0% 15.1% 10.0% 9.1% 6.5% 3.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Christina Frost 6.7% 5.3% 7.8% 9.5% 10.6% 9.4% 11.0% 12.7% 12.0% 10.7% 4.3%
Daniel Barry 2.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.5% 4.5% 7.6% 8.4% 10.3% 17.0% 21.1% 16.8%
Brent Bomkamp 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 10.1% 14.3% 56.1%
Nathan Allman 18.0% 16.8% 15.0% 12.3% 10.7% 11.1% 6.8% 5.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.