Race 2A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caleb Armstrong 11.6% 12.1% 13.3% 12.5% 12.6% 11.7% 12.0% 7.9% 3.5% 2.2% 0.6%
J. Jacob 20.5% 19.3% 15.6% 12.6% 10.8% 9.2% 6.2% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 16.3% 17.3% 15.3% 12.5% 13.2% 11.2% 5.9% 4.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 15.7% 14.3% 13.7% 14.2% 13.1% 10.5% 7.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Christina Frost 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 9.4% 12.3% 13.6% 13.0% 11.3% 4.2%
Jesse Thomas 6.6% 6.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.2% 10.4% 12.3% 11.8% 11.2% 10.8% 4.2%
Michael Rottier 5.6% 4.4% 5.7% 6.9% 7.9% 8.9% 9.8% 12.6% 15.4% 15.7% 7.1%
Scott Booth 8.4% 7.4% 9.9% 11.1% 10.3% 11.0% 11.0% 10.4% 9.8% 8.6% 2.1%
Daniel Barry 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.9% 5.8% 9.1% 9.7% 16.1% 22.6% 17.6%
Brent Bomkamp 1.1% 1.8% 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 3.1% 5.5% 9.0% 13.1% 57.9%
Emmett Weeks 4.7% 6.6% 5.9% 7.8% 8.4% 8.4% 10.8% 14.3% 14.5% 12.8% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.