Race 3A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dan Nickerson 16.8% 17.5% 16.0% 14.2% 12.0% 10.3% 6.6% 4.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Caleb Armstrong 13.2% 13.7% 12.4% 13.3% 11.5% 10.8% 10.4% 7.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3%
J. Jacob 17.6% 19.2% 15.2% 14.1% 11.3% 9.8% 5.7% 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 16.4% 12.8% 14.0% 14.5% 13.3% 10.6% 6.9% 6.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.5%
Christina Frost 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 7.7% 9.8% 9.1% 11.7% 13.2% 12.6% 11.5% 5.0%
Daniel Barry 2.9% 2.5% 4.2% 4.4% 5.5% 6.2% 9.4% 10.5% 15.1% 23.1% 16.2%
Emmett Weeks 5.9% 5.1% 6.9% 6.4% 8.4% 9.5% 11.4% 13.5% 13.3% 11.4% 8.2%
Brent Bomkamp 1.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 5.3% 10.3% 17.2% 53.9%
Michael Rottier 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 7.2% 7.5% 11.5% 13.0% 15.8% 15.7% 10.0%
Jesse Thomas 8.2% 7.2% 6.9% 10.0% 9.1% 11.3% 11.1% 11.4% 11.7% 9.4% 3.7%
Scott Booth 6.9% 10.0% 11.1% 8.9% 9.9% 11.9% 12.2% 11.1% 9.5% 6.4% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.