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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.06+1.65vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College-0.49+2.70vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.67-2.05vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.83-2.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-1.32-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.49-2.25vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.93-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
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4.7Bowdoin College-0.490.0%1st Place
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1.95Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
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2.94McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.82Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.75University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.2Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hylton | 24.4% | 25.5% | 24.9% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Fox | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 21.1% | 23.2% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| Nick Waldo | 42.4% | 32.6% | 16.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Cruanes | 18.9% | 20.9% | 26.5% | 19.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 45.7% |
| William Trumper | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 23.7% | 22.6% | 14.1% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 27.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.