Race 4A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caleb Armstrong 10.5% 13.1% 12.8% 12.8% 13.7% 11.8% 10.6% 7.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Christina Frost 6.4% 5.8% 6.7% 8.5% 8.6% 9.8% 13.4% 13.1% 12.1% 12.1% 3.5%
Nathan Allman 15.0% 15.2% 13.8% 14.1% 10.6% 11.9% 8.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2%
J. Jacob 18.2% 18.4% 16.7% 13.8% 12.1% 8.4% 6.4% 2.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Michael Rottier 5.3% 3.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 9.0% 9.4% 11.5% 15.4% 17.1% 9.0%
Jesse Thomas 6.3% 8.1% 7.3% 8.6% 9.2% 10.3% 12.2% 12.5% 11.5% 9.0% 5.0%
Daniel Barry 3.9% 3.7% 4.1% 4.4% 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 12.3% 14.7% 20.6% 15.9%
Emmett Weeks 5.5% 5.6% 5.2% 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 10.2% 11.7% 14.6% 15.1% 5.9%
Scott Booth 7.2% 8.4% 8.8% 8.7% 10.1% 11.0% 12.4% 12.0% 11.2% 6.6% 3.6%
Dan Nickerson 20.6% 17.0% 17.1% 12.0% 11.3% 8.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Brent Bomkamp 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 3.3% 3.8% 6.0% 8.0% 14.7% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.