Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caleb Armstrong 9.9% 14.2% 13.6% 11.7% 12.9% 14.8% 10.9% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Dan Nickerson 19.2% 17.4% 14.7% 15.3% 11.6% 8.7% 5.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Jesse Thomas 5.7% 6.1% 7.9% 8.1% 9.9% 9.4% 12.3% 13.4% 14.0% 8.8% 4.4%
Christina Frost 5.1% 5.9% 6.0% 7.2% 8.7% 10.8% 11.0% 15.8% 12.6% 11.0% 5.9%
Emmett Weeks 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 7.1% 7.7% 9.5% 11.0% 13.0% 13.5% 14.0% 7.6%
Nathan Allman 16.6% 14.7% 14.7% 14.4% 12.1% 8.2% 8.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.2%
J. Jacob 23.0% 19.5% 15.5% 12.6% 10.1% 8.1% 4.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Daniel Barry 3.6% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 6.5% 7.1% 9.0% 11.6% 14.3% 21.6% 15.1%
Scott Booth 6.8% 7.3% 10.5% 9.4% 10.2% 12.4% 11.5% 11.3% 11.3% 6.4% 2.9%
Michael Rottier 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 10.3% 11.0% 15.7% 16.5% 7.6%
Brent Bomkamp 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.8% 4.7% 7.5% 16.8% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.