Race 6A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emmett Weeks 3.5% 5.0% 5.5% 7.8% 6.7% 10.5% 10.1% 13.8% 15.9% 14.7% 6.5%
Dan Nickerson 19.4% 17.0% 17.0% 13.1% 9.7% 10.1% 6.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3%
J. Jacob 17.0% 18.7% 16.7% 15.1% 10.8% 7.8% 6.7% 5.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Booth 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.1% 11.0% 12.9% 12.0% 12.4% 10.2% 8.2% 2.8%
Nathan Allman 16.5% 15.6% 15.3% 12.5% 12.4% 7.9% 9.0% 5.5% 3.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Caleb Armstrong 12.8% 14.2% 11.7% 13.1% 12.8% 11.2% 8.4% 6.2% 6.6% 2.5% 0.5%
Daniel Barry 4.5% 3.7% 3.2% 4.2% 7.1% 7.0% 8.1% 11.3% 12.9% 22.4% 15.6%
Michael Rottier 4.8% 4.5% 5.2% 8.0% 8.1% 8.8% 9.6% 13.1% 14.2% 16.5% 7.2%
Jesse Thomas 6.5% 6.4% 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 11.3% 13.7% 10.7% 12.2% 9.0% 4.9%
Christina Frost 7.1% 6.2% 8.1% 7.8% 10.0% 9.4% 11.4% 11.5% 13.2% 10.5% 4.8%
Brent Bomkamp 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 8.5% 13.5% 57.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.