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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.63+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+3.22vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.33vs Predicted
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4Vanderbilt University-0.03+0.80vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.36-0.92vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.67vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.99-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.76-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of South Carolina0.6318.5%1st Place
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5.22University of North Carolina-0.248.7%1st Place
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3.33Clemson University0.7320.6%1st Place
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4.8Vanderbilt University-0.0310.4%1st Place
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4.08The Citadel0.3613.7%1st Place
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4.33Duke University0.0612.8%1st Place
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6.62North Carolina State University-0.994.0%1st Place
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5.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.199.4%1st Place
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7.79University of Georgia-1.761.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Street | 18.5% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 6.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 20.6% | 20.3% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Dalton | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Noah Frank | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 28.9% | 22.4% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 5.3% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.