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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.63+2.81vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.36+1.95vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+1.25vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.75vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.99+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-1.77vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-0.03-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.76-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81University of South Carolina0.6317.7%1st Place
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3.95The Citadel0.3615.4%1st Place
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4.44Duke University0.0612.3%1st Place
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5.25University of North Carolina-0.248.6%1st Place
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3.25Clemson University0.7322.1%1st Place
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6.61North Carolina State University-0.993.2%1st Place
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5.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.197.8%1st Place
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4.68Vanderbilt University-0.0311.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Georgia-1.761.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Street | 17.7% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Noah Frank | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 12.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 22.1% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 22.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 6.2% |
| Jack Dalton | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 3.1% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.