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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
J. Jacob 17.2% 19.0% 17.0% 14.4% 12.1% 9.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Nathan Allman 17.6% 15.4% 14.0% 13.1% 13.3% 9.1% 8.6% 5.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Jesse Thomas 6.4% 6.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 11.5% 10.0% 14.3% 13.6% 9.6% 3.9%
Michael Rottier 3.7% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 6.2% 7.5% 11.8% 13.2% 16.4% 16.4% 9.1%
Daniel Barry 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.1% 7.9% 11.1% 15.0% 20.8% 17.2%
Scott Booth 7.0% 9.3% 8.8% 9.3% 8.6% 12.7% 11.6% 12.7% 9.9% 6.9% 3.2%
Christina Frost 6.8% 6.0% 8.1% 7.8% 10.6% 10.5% 11.5% 11.8% 12.8% 10.1% 4.0%
Emmett Weeks 5.3% 4.8% 6.0% 8.3% 8.4% 10.0% 11.3% 12.5% 12.9% 14.1% 6.4%
Chanel Miller 11.5% 13.4% 12.3% 12.3% 11.7% 11.0% 11.4% 7.1% 5.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Dan Nickerson 20.7% 16.2% 16.6% 13.4% 11.6% 8.3% 6.3% 3.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Brent Bomkamp 0.9% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 4.8% 7.3% 17.1% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.