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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.49+2.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+2.00vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.36+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.96+3.29vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+2.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51-0.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-0.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.07-1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-4.26vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-7.32vs Predicted
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13Williams College0.59-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Roger Williams University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.0Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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6.33Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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9.58Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jacob | 17.2% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jesse Thomas | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Michael Rottier | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 9.1% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
| Scott Booth | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Christina Frost | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 6.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 20.7% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.