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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+2.28vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.24+2.22vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.36+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.63-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.76+1.73vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-0.03-2.15vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.99-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Clemson University0.7321.8%1st Place
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4.29Duke University0.0613.0%1st Place
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5.22University of North Carolina-0.248.1%1st Place
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4.08The Citadel0.3614.4%1st Place
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3.83University of South Carolina0.6318.3%1st Place
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7.73University of Georgia-1.762.4%1st Place
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4.85Vanderbilt University-0.0310.0%1st Place
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6.51North Carolina State University-0.994.8%1st Place
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5.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.197.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 21.8% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 5.7% |
| Noah Frank | 14.4% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Ian Street | 18.3% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 55.6% |
| Jack Dalton | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 24.6% | 23.5% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.