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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+3.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.49+1.59vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+1.20vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+2.61vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36+1.13vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.07+0.91vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41-3.38vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.51-2.31vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.96-4.03vs Predicted
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12Williams College0.59-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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3.59Roger Williams University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.2Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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6.13Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.91Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University3.410.2%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Connecticut1.960.1%1st Place
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9.63Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| J. Jacob | 20.3% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 14.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Christina Frost | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Emmett Weeks | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 7.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 21.1% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Scott Booth | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 22.7% | 16.5% |
| Michael Rottier | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.