Race 9A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dan Nickerson 17.5% 18.5% 16.6% 14.8% 13.0% 10.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 17.1% 17.4% 15.0% 14.2% 12.9% 9.0% 7.8% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Emmett Weeks 4.8% 4.8% 6.5% 7.4% 7.6% 10.6% 12.2% 18.2% 17.1% 9.3% 1.5%
Scott Booth 7.3% 7.1% 8.2% 10.2% 13.1% 11.5% 15.7% 12.9% 9.8% 3.8% 0.4%
J. Jacob 21.1% 19.8% 16.7% 13.8% 9.1% 9.2% 6.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 13.0% 14.2% 13.3% 13.1% 14.3% 10.4% 8.4% 8.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Jesse Thomas 7.4% 8.1% 9.2% 10.5% 10.0% 13.4% 11.8% 12.9% 11.3% 5.1% 0.3%
Daniel Barry 3.6% 3.1% 4.3% 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 12.5% 13.3% 21.0% 18.4% 4.1%
Christina Frost 6.4% 6.0% 8.1% 8.1% 9.7% 12.4% 14.3% 13.4% 14.2% 6.3% 1.1%
Andrew Silhavy 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 3.7% 4.4% 13.3% 73.9%
Brent Bomkamp 1.4% 0.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 4.9% 4.5% 7.2% 14.3% 42.3% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.