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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+3.35vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.63+0.70vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.36+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.24+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.76+0.68vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University-0.03-3.15vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.99-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Duke University0.0612.1%1st Place
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3.29Clemson University0.7321.6%1st Place
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3.7University of South Carolina0.6319.1%1st Place
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4.02The Citadel0.3614.7%1st Place
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5.19University of North Carolina-0.248.4%1st Place
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5.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.197.8%1st Place
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7.68University of Georgia-1.762.4%1st Place
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4.85Vanderbilt University-0.0310.0%1st Place
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6.69North Carolina State University-0.994.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 21.6% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ian Street | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Frank | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 5.5% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Jake Tipper | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 17.2% | 55.0% |
| Jack Dalton | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 26.2% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.