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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Vanderbilt University-0.03+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+3.21vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.36+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.63-0.31vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.70vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.58vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.99-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.24-2.87vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.76-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Vanderbilt University-0.039.8%1st Place
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5.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.198.6%1st Place
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4.02The Citadel0.3615.8%1st Place
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3.69University of South Carolina0.6319.0%1st Place
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3.3Clemson University0.7320.6%1st Place
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4.42Duke University0.0611.2%1st Place
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6.57North Carolina State University-0.994.0%1st Place
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5.13University of North Carolina-0.249.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Georgia-1.761.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dalton | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 5.9% |
| Noah Frank | 15.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Ian Street | 19.0% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 20.6% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Campbell Tate | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 25.8% | 21.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 5.9% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.