Race 10A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nathan Allman 15.0% 15.8% 15.8% 14.0% 14.8% 11.1% 8.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 20.8% 18.0% 15.7% 14.3% 11.2% 8.5% 7.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
J. Jacob 18.6% 19.5% 16.1% 15.5% 11.9% 8.6% 6.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Booth 7.6% 7.3% 8.7% 9.4% 10.3% 14.6% 13.2% 15.5% 8.6% 4.3% 0.5%
Christina Frost 5.9% 7.1% 8.4% 8.2% 10.1% 11.6% 14.1% 14.8% 12.8% 6.3% 0.7%
Jesse Thomas 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 9.0% 11.7% 11.9% 12.5% 13.9% 12.0% 5.3% 1.1%
Chanel Miller 15.0% 14.6% 13.6% 13.2% 12.6% 11.4% 9.4% 5.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Emmett Weeks 6.1% 4.5% 7.4% 9.2% 9.1% 10.7% 14.1% 13.3% 16.5% 8.1% 1.0%
Daniel Barry 2.8% 4.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.6% 6.4% 9.7% 17.3% 23.9% 16.6% 4.8%
Andrew Silhavy 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.8% 3.6% 4.2% 14.9% 72.7%
Brent Bomkamp 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.3% 4.2% 3.8% 8.1% 14.0% 42.5% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.