Race 1B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Viktor Wettergren 6.2% 9.5% 12.2% 12.5% 13.1% 15.9% 13.4% 10.5% 5.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 10.1% 13.3% 12.0% 13.4% 14.8% 12.8% 10.6% 8.3% 4.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Timothy Harding 10.2% 11.6% 13.8% 14.7% 13.2% 12.7% 10.9% 8.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 9.8% 12.0% 13.5% 16.8% 14.5% 13.1% 10.0% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Luis Marban 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.6% 10.3% 17.8% 24.6% 14.9% 3.0%
Rachel Bryer 38.9% 25.9% 16.8% 8.6% 4.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Pope 12.9% 14.3% 17.1% 12.5% 12.6% 10.9% 10.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 8.2% 8.3% 10.6% 19.1% 21.5% 15.0% 2.5%
Alexandra Swanson 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 9.4% 10.1% 11.4% 16.4% 15.7% 14.2% 4.9% 0.9%
Sara Clark 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 5.8% 19.3% 66.8%
Kimberly Jackman 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 14.8% 41.3% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.