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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+1.81vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.24+2.27vs Predicted
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4Vanderbilt University-0.03+0.94vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.36-0.79vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-1.74vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.99-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.76-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of South Carolina1.1828.0%1st Place
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3.45Clemson University0.7320.1%1st Place
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5.27University of North Carolina-0.246.8%1st Place
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4.94Vanderbilt University-0.037.6%1st Place
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4.21The Citadel0.3612.9%1st Place
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4.51Duke University0.0612.1%1st Place
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5.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.198.0%1st Place
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6.7North Carolina State University-0.993.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Georgia-1.761.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 28.0% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 20.1% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 5.8% |
| Jack Dalton | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Noah Frank | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 5.9% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 26.1% | 23.4% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.