← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Carolina1.18+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.73+1.43vs Predicted
-
3Duke University0.06+1.49vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19+1.39vs Predicted
-
5Vanderbilt University-0.03-0.06vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-0.24-0.70vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-0.99-0.27vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel0.36-3.88vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-1.76-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8University of South Carolina1.1827.3%1st Place
-
3.43Clemson University0.7318.8%1st Place
-
4.49Duke University0.0610.7%1st Place
-
5.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.197.8%1st Place
-
4.94Vanderbilt University-0.039.4%1st Place
-
5.3University of North Carolina-0.247.6%1st Place
-
6.73North Carolina State University-0.993.5%1st Place
-
4.12The Citadel0.3613.1%1st Place
-
7.79University of Georgia-1.761.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 27.3% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.8% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 6.5% |
| Jack Dalton | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Campbell Tate | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 28.0% | 22.9% |
| Noah Frank | 13.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 16.9% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.