Race 2B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Becker Awqatty 8.3% 11.0% 13.7% 13.8% 13.6% 16.1% 11.3% 8.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Luis Marban 2.5% 3.7% 2.6% 5.0% 6.9% 8.5% 10.7% 18.8% 24.1% 14.2% 3.0%
Jonathan Pope 9.9% 13.3% 14.9% 13.4% 14.4% 12.6% 12.3% 5.4% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 9.1% 14.0% 13.4% 16.6% 13.8% 13.2% 9.2% 7.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 8.4% 11.0% 11.0% 11.7% 13.5% 13.0% 13.0% 10.6% 5.8% 2.0% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 9.7% 13.6% 14.3% 16.2% 13.7% 10.9% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Rachel Bryer 43.0% 23.7% 17.3% 7.6% 4.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 5.1% 5.0% 8.0% 10.1% 11.2% 12.3% 15.6% 14.9% 12.8% 4.6% 0.4%
Karl Ryder 2.7% 4.0% 3.7% 4.0% 5.6% 7.0% 11.7% 17.4% 26.4% 14.0% 3.5%
Sara Clark 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 3.1% 5.6% 20.1% 66.4%
Kimberly Jackman 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 2.1% 2.7% 3.7% 6.4% 12.7% 42.4% 26.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.