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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+3.53vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.48+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84-0.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28+1.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61-0.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.46vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62-2.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76-1.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.11-1.54vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.13-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.26-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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2.35University of Rhode Island3.840.4%1st Place
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5.21Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.39Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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10.32Williams College-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 37.1% | 26.9% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 11.9% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 15.7% | 3.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Luis Marban | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% |
| Sara Clark | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 20.6% | 65.7% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 13.0% | 42.7% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.