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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Bowdoin College-0.49+1.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.67-2.04vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.83-2.09vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.93-0.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-1.32-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.49-3.27vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.06-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Bowdoin College-0.490.1%1st Place
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1.96Harvard University1.670.4%1st Place
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2.91McGill University0.830.2%1st Place
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5.36Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.81Northeastern University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.73University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
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2.58Dartmouth College1.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Fox | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 21.4% | 13.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 43.7% | 30.5% | 16.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Justin Cruanes | 17.6% | 23.3% | 26.8% | 19.2% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 29.0% | 26.9% |
| Abigail Crenshaw | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 24.4% | 44.3% |
| William Trumper | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 25.1% | 20.0% | 14.7% |
| Sarah Hylton | 24.6% | 26.9% | 24.1% | 16.3% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.