Race 4B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
A. Tucker Atterbury 10.0% 12.6% 14.8% 15.3% 14.6% 12.4% 10.4% 6.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Rachel Bryer 39.5% 25.6% 16.4% 11.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 7.9% 8.2% 12.6% 11.0% 11.4% 15.0% 14.3% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Becker Awqatty 8.6% 11.1% 12.1% 13.1% 16.3% 14.1% 10.8% 8.6% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Alexandra Swanson 4.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.0% 9.7% 11.5% 14.1% 16.5% 14.6% 5.2% 0.4%
Jonathan Pope 11.4% 12.9% 13.7% 15.3% 13.2% 12.0% 11.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 11.3% 14.7% 14.1% 13.9% 13.1% 11.9% 10.1% 6.8% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 3.1% 3.0% 3.4% 5.3% 6.5% 8.8% 11.9% 16.9% 24.9% 12.8% 3.4%
Sara Clark 0.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 4.3% 19.3% 68.7%
Kimberly Jackman 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.6% 6.2% 12.2% 45.0% 24.8%
Luis Marban 2.2% 3.8% 4.6% 4.0% 7.9% 8.5% 11.4% 18.5% 24.0% 12.7% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.