Race 5B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian White 10.4% 12.1% 12.7% 13.1% 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Timothy Harding 15.6% 14.4% 13.8% 14.4% 13.0% 10.9% 8.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 15.0% 14.2% 14.0% 15.7% 10.9% 11.0% 10.2% 6.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 11.8% 10.0% 11.1% 11.0% 13.4% 12.1% 12.7% 9.7% 6.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Becker Awqatty 14.6% 14.5% 13.7% 12.3% 11.3% 11.7% 9.8% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Luis Marban 3.0% 4.3% 5.5% 3.5% 6.7% 7.1% 11.9% 14.8% 23.9% 15.3% 4.0%
Jonathan Pope 17.2% 17.8% 14.6% 11.6% 12.2% 11.2% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 7.3% 6.7% 9.2% 10.2% 9.9% 12.1% 12.3% 14.5% 13.0% 4.1% 0.7%
Sara Clark 0.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 2.8% 5.7% 18.1% 68.5%
Karl Ryder 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 7.3% 10.6% 16.2% 25.2% 12.5% 2.1%
Kimberly Jackman 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.0% 3.3% 3.0% 6.9% 11.7% 44.7% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.