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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.62+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+2.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.48+1.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+0.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.11+1.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.76-1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-0.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.28-4.16vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.26-0.63vs Predicted
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11Williams College-1.13-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.48Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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4.11Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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5.7Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.28Williams College-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian White | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 12.9% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Pope | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 17.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luis Marban | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 15.3% | 3.6% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Karl Ryder | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 22.4% | 13.9% | 2.6% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 41.2% | 26.7% |
| Sara Clark | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 20.5% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.