Race 7B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Becker Awqatty 11.0% 13.4% 14.2% 12.0% 15.6% 11.8% 11.8% 6.6% 3.2% 0.3% 0.1%
A. Tucker Atterbury 15.1% 16.2% 13.9% 15.6% 9.9% 11.5% 9.0% 5.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 14.4% 12.6% 15.0% 13.0% 12.4% 11.3% 11.1% 6.5% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Christina Lewis 14.9% 12.4% 14.3% 14.8% 13.7% 10.8% 8.3% 7.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Viktor Wettergren 12.0% 12.0% 11.7% 10.8% 12.4% 12.0% 10.8% 10.2% 6.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 5.8% 8.8% 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 12.9% 13.1% 15.5% 13.4% 4.9% 0.6%
Jonathan Pope 17.5% 16.5% 14.5% 13.6% 11.0% 9.7% 7.9% 5.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 4.6% 3.1% 3.7% 6.0% 7.3% 8.6% 13.3% 16.1% 22.7% 12.5% 2.1%
Luis Marban 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.0% 6.1% 8.0% 10.4% 16.9% 25.7% 13.1% 4.2%
Shannan Smith 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 6.1% 11.5% 41.2% 31.0%
Sara Clark 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 1.5% 1.6% 3.5% 5.1% 24.4% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.