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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.28+3.88vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.48+2.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+1.20vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+0.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.76-0.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.11+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.59-3.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.43-0.44vs Predicted
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13Williams College-1.13-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.33Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.2Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.24Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.14Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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5.96Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Rhode Island2.590.2%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.25Williams College-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Wettergren | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 14.3% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Luis Marban | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 24.4% | 12.6% | 2.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 16.1% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 24.0% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 40.3% | 31.1% |
| Sara Clark | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 24.0% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.