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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.48+3.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.56+2.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+1.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.59-0.90vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.76-0.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.61-3.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-0.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.11-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.43-2.45vs Predicted
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13Williams College-1.13-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.18Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.620.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Rhode Island2.590.2%1st Place
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5.95Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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3.94Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Connecticut-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.25Williams College-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becker Awqatty | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 14.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christina Lewis | 16.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Pope | 17.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 23.1% | 12.5% | 2.1% |
| Luis Marban | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 26.2% | 13.0% | 4.2% |
| Shannan Smith | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 41.3% | 31.0% |
| Sara Clark | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 24.5% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.