Race 10B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Becker Awqatty 11.3% 13.8% 13.2% 13.0% 14.2% 12.4% 12.3% 5.8% 3.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Jonathan Pope 15.1% 16.6% 13.4% 14.5% 11.1% 10.9% 8.9% 6.3% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Christina Lewis 14.8% 13.3% 14.5% 12.5% 13.6% 11.9% 9.3% 7.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 15.0% 13.3% 14.1% 14.9% 14.1% 9.4% 10.0% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Viktor Wettergren 12.3% 11.8% 11.0% 12.1% 11.0% 12.8% 11.3% 9.7% 6.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Luis Marban 2.9% 3.9% 5.4% 4.1% 6.6% 7.4% 11.4% 16.5% 25.3% 14.1% 2.4%
Timothy Harding 16.6% 16.5% 13.6% 13.3% 11.5% 10.3% 8.8% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 7.2% 6.2% 9.5% 8.6% 9.9% 13.7% 12.7% 14.2% 13.5% 4.1% 0.4%
Karl Ryder 3.6% 3.9% 4.0% 4.6% 6.0% 7.6% 10.3% 19.3% 22.5% 13.6% 4.6%
Shannan Smith 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 5.6% 12.3% 40.7% 30.8%
Sara Clark 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 5.9% 24.0% 61.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.